The United States’ prioritisation of the Middle East has repercussions for the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait and creates an opening that China is taking advantage of.

The latter combines sustained military pressure with targeted political initiatives, thereby aiming for selective and differentiated détente.

Between normalised coercion and renewal of the dialogue between parties, Beijing is exploring a conditional stabilisation in line with its own reference frameworks.

Set against a backdrop of an enduring grey area, this dynamic extends beyond the Asian level. It puts trans-Atlantic coherence to the test and calls for a more structured and concerted European anticipating stance.

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Research lines: Indo-Pacific; Transatlantic relations

Image source: © Ministry of National Defense (Republic of China)

e-Note 101

Le détroit de Taïwan à l’épreuve de la mobilisation américaine au Moyen‑Orient

Xavier BARA