This study is organised into two volumes
The present first volume focuses on the lines of action adopted during the EU Summit on Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) in December 2013, its results and the road map for the rendezvous clause of June 2015. This part addresses the general framework of the propositions in the institutional field. Both the context and the first reactions of the institutional timetable are summarised and put into perspective, regardless of their source: the Council of the European Union, the European Council, the Commission, the European Parliament, the European Defence Agency (EDA), or the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS). Besides, think tanks had the opportunity to give their institutional vision of the CSDP’s future during the reference period between 2013 and 2015, as did national actors. As a result of their position and experience, they also provided reactions and gave media coverage to their own critical visions and other propositions by focusing on a rebirth of the CSDP, which has attracted criticism in recent years.
The second volume deals with the level of predictability of future scenarios as to the CSDP, which depend on the progress achieved between December 2013 and June 2015 and on the general security-defence context in 2016. It presents various constraints (budget, capacity, politics, industry, concept, etc.) before identifying several possible scenarios in the field of CSDP. We then attempt to classify these scenarios with a view to aligning them with the Belgian lines of action in the field of CSDP. Finally, recommendations are offered for consideration.